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Tritium beat SSD Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-0 in Serie D – Group B.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Tritium won 2-0.
Half time: 0-0.
Tritium won 2-0.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Tritium 33%, draw 27%, SSD Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 40%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Tritium win in 33% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and SSD Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win 40%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
SSD Virtus Ciserano Bergamo failed to score as Tritium won 2-0 in Serie D – Group B.
By half: 0-0 and 2-0.
Tritium end a run of 11 matches without a win. SSD Virtus Ciserano Bergamo's run of 6 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
