Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Piratas FC de Veracruz and CA La Paz meet on in Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura.
Venue: Estadio Luis de la Fuente.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Piratas FC de Veracruz (54%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
54%21%25%
Piratas FC de Veracruz54%Draw21%CA La Paz25%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Piratas FC de Veracruz vs CA La Paz: preview
Piratas FC de Veracruz have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Piratas FC de Veracruz have scored in 7 matches in a row. 6 of Piratas FC de Veracruz's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. CA La Paz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. CA La Paz have scored in 12 matches in a row. 9 of CA La Paz's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
Piratas FC de Veracruz are in position 4 with 25 points, CA La Paz in position 1 with 30 points. A win could lift Piratas FC de Veracruz as high as position 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Piratas FC de Veracruz 54%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 25%.
Table by result
Piratas FC de Veracruz4
A win lifts them to 3.
A defeat can drop them as low as 6.
Win3Draw3–4Loss4–6
CA La Paz1
A draw is enough to stay top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 2.
Win1Draw1Loss1–2
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Piratas FC de Veracruz win in 54% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and CA La Paz win 25%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 37%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
In the table, Piratas FC de Veracruz sit 4th with 25 points and CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points. Piratas FC de Veracruz and CA La Paz both start the day in the top four, 5 points apart.
Recent form
Piratas FC de Veracruz are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. Piratas FC de Veracruz have found the net in 7 straight games. Goals have flowed in Piratas FC de Veracruz's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Over the last 5 matches, CA La Paz have collected 3 wins and 2 draws. CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 12 matches. 9 of CA La Paz's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura
