UNC Wilmington 1-2 Charleston: NCAA Division I result, 08/11/2026
No events yet.
Charleston beat UNC Wilmington 2-1 in NCAA Division I.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
- Scoreyes
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsno
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Charleston won 1-2.
Story
UNC Wilmington vs Charleston: the story of the match
Charleston won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: UNC Wilmington 47%, draw 28%, Charleston 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsWhat the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UNC Wilmington win in 47% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Charleston win 25%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.