This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Stade Brestois win in 42% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and OGC Nice win 33%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Stade Brestois took the lead in the 15th minute: Ludovic Ajorque. Stade Brestois led 1-0 at the break.
OGC Nice drew level at 1-1 in the 61st minute: Elye Wahi, set up by Mohamed Amoura. Sofiane Diop turned the game around for OGC Nice at 2-1 after 83 minutes, set up by Elye Wahi.
The statistics
The shot count read 9-8, 6-3 on target. Corners finished 3-7.
The bigger picture
Stade Brestois' 3-match unbeaten run is over. OGC Nice have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
