Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: the story of the match
25' — Sligo Rovers took the lead: 1-0. G. McElroy scored it. 37' — Sligo Rovers extended the lead: 2-0. R. O'Kane scored it. Half time: 2-0.
48' — K. Woolery of Sligo Rovers was sent off. 77' — Derry City pulled one back: 2-1. T. Doherty scored it. 82' — Derry City equalised: 2-2. T. Doherty scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City
Pre-match model estimate: Sligo Rovers 17%, draw 20%, Derry City 63%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sligo Rovers win in 17% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Derry City win 63%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 0-2 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither Sligo Rovers nor Derry City could find a winner in a 2-2 draw. T. Doherty scored twice for Derry City. The half-time score was 2-0.
How the match unfolded
Sligo Rovers took the lead on 25 minutes thanks to G. McElroy. Sligo Rovers extended their lead to 2-0 in the 37th minute: R. O'Kane. Half-time: 2-0, Sligo Rovers in front.
Sligo Rovers had a player sent off on 48 minutes: K. Woolery. Derry City pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 77 minutes thanks to T. Doherty, set up by G. Whyte. Derry City drew level at 2-2 in the 82nd minute: T. Doherty, set up by C. Barr.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 2-6, 2-3 on target. Sligo Rovers won 3 corners, Derry City 5. Derry City produced 295 dangerous attacks to Sligo Rovers' 140.
The bigger picture
In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points. Derry City sit 5th on 48 points in the standings. Sligo Rovers have now gone 10 matches without a win. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Sligo Rovers, 5 wins for Derry City and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
