Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: the story of the match
4' — Atletico Madrid took the lead: 0-1. A. Baena scored it. 26' — Atletico Madrid extended the lead: 0-2. A. Lookman scored it. 33' — Atletico Madrid extended the lead: 0-3. A. Baena scored it. Half time: 0-3.
66' — Sevilla pulled one back: 1-3. M. Sierra scored it. Atletico Madrid won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
Pre-match model estimate: Sevilla 18%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico Madrid got the better of Sevilla, winning 3-1 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Atletico Madrid owed a lot to A. Baena, who struck twice. It was 0-3 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
Atletico Madrid took the lead in the 4th minute: A. Baena, set up by Lee Kang-In. Atletico Madrid extended their lead to 2-0 in the 26th minute: A. Lookman, set up by P. Barrios. A. Baena made it 3-0 for Atletico Madrid after 33 minutes, set up by M. Llorente. Atletico Madrid led 3-0 at the break.
Sevilla pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 66th minute: M. Sierra, set up by R. Ure.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
