Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Santos SP U20 beat EC Santo Andre U20 2-1 in U20 Campeonato Paulista.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Santos SP U20 won 2-1.
Story
Santos SP U20 vs EC Santo Andre U20: the story of the match
21' — Santos SP U20 took the lead: 1-0. 44' — Santos SP U20 extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
90' — EC Santo Andre U20 pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Santos SP U20 won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Santos SP U20DrawEC Santo Andre U20
Pre-match model estimate: Santos SP U20 72%, draw 17%, EC Santo Andre U20 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Santos SP U20 win in 72% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and EC Santo Andre U20 win 11%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
