This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RC Lebbeke win in 49% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and KFC Sparta Petegem win 28%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-2 away win for KFC Sparta Petegem against RC Lebbeke in the 2. Amateur Division. The half-time score was 1-2.
How the match unfolded
KFC Sparta Petegem took the lead on 19 minutes. KFC Sparta Petegem extended their lead to 2-0 on 33 minutes. RC Lebbeke pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-2, KFC Sparta Petegem in front.
RC Lebbeke drew level at 2-2 on 53 minutes. KFC Sparta Petegem went 3-2 up on 77 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 7-8, 5-8 on target. RC Lebbeke won 5 corners, KFC Sparta Petegem 6.
What the result means
RC Lebbeke have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. KFC Sparta Petegem extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
