Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Pro Sesto beat SSD Correggese 4-2 in Serie D.
Venue: Stadio Ernesto Breda.
In our records Pro Sesto and SSD Correggese have met 2 times: Pro Sesto won 1, 0 ended level and SSD Correggese won 1.
Their latest meeting (): SSD Correggese 1-0 Pro Sesto.
Match details
Venue
Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Pro Sesto won 4-2.
Story
Pro Sesto vs SSD Correggese: the story of the match
15' — Pro Sesto took the lead: 1-0. 24' — Pro Sesto extended the lead: 2-0. 27' — SSD Correggese pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
58' — Pro Sesto extended the lead: 3-1. 68' — SSD Correggese pulled one back: 3-2. 70' — Pro Sesto extended the lead: 4-2. Pro Sesto won 4-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Pro SestoDrawSSD Correggese
Pre-match model estimate: Pro Sesto 59%, draw 23%, SSD Correggese 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Pro Sesto win in 59% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and SSD Correggese win 18%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Pro Sesto got the better of SSD Correggese, winning 4-2 at Stadio Ernesto Breda. It was 2-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Pro Sesto took the lead on 15 minutes. Pro Sesto extended their lead to 2-0 on 24 minutes. SSD Correggese pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 27 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, Pro Sesto in front.
Pro Sesto extended their lead to 3-1 on 58 minutes. SSD Correggese pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 68 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (70') Pro Sesto extended their lead to 4-2.
Match statistics
Corners finished 2-4.
The bigger picture
Pro Sesto move on to 17 points. The result takes SSD Correggese to 10 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Pro Sesto. The wait for a win goes on for SSD Correggese: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
