Persiku Kudus vs Persiraja Aceh: the story of the match
20' — Persiraja Aceh took the lead: 0-1. M. Chaves scored it. Half time: 0-1.
48' — Persiku Kudus equalised: 1-1. Barata scored it. 50' — Persiraja Aceh went back in front: 1-2. P. Husni scored it. 69' — Persiraja Aceh extended the lead: 1-3. P. Husni scored it. 95' — Z. Alamsah of Persiku Kudus was sent off. Persiraja Aceh won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Persiku KudusDrawPersiraja Aceh
Pre-match model estimate: Persiku Kudus 19%, draw 20%, Persiraja Aceh 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Persiku Kudus win in 19% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Persiraja Aceh win 61%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-1 away win for Persiraja Aceh against Persiku Kudus in the Championship. P. Husni scored twice for Persiraja Aceh. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
Persiraja Aceh took the lead in the 20th minute: M. Chaves, set up by I. Armaiyn. It was Persiku Kudus 0-1 Persiraja Aceh at half-time.
Persiku Kudus drew level at 1-1 in the 48th minute: Barata. Persiraja Aceh went 2-1 up in the 50th minute: P. Husni. VAR checked and confirmed the Persiraja Aceh goal on 52 minutes. Persiraja Aceh extended their lead to 3-1 on 69 minutes thanks to P. Husni. Persiku Kudus had a player sent off on 95 minutes: Z. Alamsah.
The statistics
Persiku Kudus won 5 corners, Persiraja Aceh 6. Persiraja Aceh produced 69 dangerous attacks to Persiku Kudus' 36.
The bigger picture
It is now 6 straight defeats for Persiku Kudus. Persiraja Aceh extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
