61' — AEK Athens took the lead: 0-1. L. Jovic scored from the penalty spot. 85' — PAE Volos equalised: 1-1. G. Charalaboglou scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 88' — AEK Athens went back in front: 1-2. L. Jovic scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 94' — G. Mygas of PAE Volos was sent off. 96' — H. Mendyl of PAE Volos was sent off. AEK Athens won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A goal in the 88th minute gave AEK Athens a 2-1 win against PAE Volos in the Greek Super League. AEK Athens owed a lot to L. Jovic, who struck twice. It was 0-0 at half-time.
Key moments
The first half ended 0-0.
AEK Athens took the lead on 61 minutes thanks to L. Jovic from the penalty spot. PAE Volos drew level at 1-1 in the 85th minute: G. Charalaboglou. AEK Athens went 2-1 up on 88 minutes thanks to L. Jovic, set up by Joao Mario. G. Mygas saw a straight red card in the 94th minute, leaving PAE Volos short-handed. PAE Volos had a player sent off on 96 minutes: H. Mendyl.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for PAE Volos: 6 matches now. AEK Athens are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.