Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Pacos Ferreira beat CD Trofense 4-3 in Liga 3, Group B.
In our records Pacos Ferreira and CD Trofense have met 3 times: Pacos Ferreira won 2, 1 ended level and CD Trofense won 0.
Their latest meeting (): CD Trofense 1-1 Pacos Ferreira.
Match details
Coaches
Nuno Silva · Cristiano Brito
Match decisions & VAR
10'Penalty awardedPacos FerreiraDecision
77'Penalty awardedCD TrofenseDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Pacos Ferreira won 4-3.
Story
Pacos Ferreira vs CD Trofense: the story of the match
CD Trofense started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 7' — Pacos Ferreira took the lead: 1-0. 11' — Pacos Ferreira extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0, with CD Trofense applying more of the pressure.
52' — Pacos Ferreira extended the lead: 3-0. 55' — CD Trofense pulled one back: 3-1. 56' — CD Trofense pulled one back: 3-2. 65' — Pacos Ferreira extended the lead: 4-2. 79' — CD Trofense pulled one back: 4-3. Pacos Ferreira won 4-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Pacos FerreiraDrawCD Trofense
Pre-match model estimate: Pacos Ferreira 55%, draw 26%, CD Trofense 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Pacos FerreiraCD Trofense
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3983
Last 15 min6066
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Pacos Ferreira win in 55% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CD Trofense win 19%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 43%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Trofense started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Pacos Ferreira took the lead on 7 minutes. Pacos Ferreira extended their lead to 2-0 on 11 minutes. Pacos Ferreira led 2-0 at the break, although CD Trofense had applied more pressure.
Pacos Ferreira extended their lead to 3-0 on 52 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (55') CD Trofense pulled one back to make it 3-1. Just 1 minutes later (56') CD Trofense pulled one back to make it 3-2. Pacos Ferreira extended their lead to 4-2 on 65 minutes. CD Trofense pulled one back to make it 4-3 on 79 minutes.
The statistics
Pacos Ferreira had 7 shots (3 on target) to CD Trofense's 4 (4). Corners finished 4-7. Dangerous attacks: 114 for CD Trofense, 99 for Pacos Ferreira.
What the result means
Pacos Ferreira have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for CD Trofense: 7 matches now. Pacos Ferreira beat CD Trofense for the first time since 2009.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga 3, Group B
