Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: NK Bravo won 2-1.
Story
NK Bravo vs NK Maribor: the story of the match
41' — NK Bravo took the lead: 1-0. 45' — NK Bravo extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
65' — NK Maribor pulled one back: 2-1. NK Bravo won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NK BravoDrawNK Maribor
Pre-match model estimate: NK Bravo 25%, draw 24%, NK Maribor 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Bravo win in 25% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and NK Maribor win 51%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
NK Bravo took the lead on 41 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (45') NK Bravo extended their lead to 2-0. Half-time: 2-0, NK Bravo in front.
NK Maribor pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 65 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-3, from 5 and 7 attempts respectively. NK Bravo won 5 corners, NK Maribor 5. NK Maribor produced 68 dangerous attacks to NK Bravo's 47.
The bigger picture
NK Bravo stay 5th on 23 points. NK Maribor remain 2nd, now with 24 points. NK Bravo end a run of 4 matches without a win. NK Maribor have now gone 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
PrvaLiga
