Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
FC Koper vs NS Mura: the story of the match
10' — NS Mura took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
90' — FC Koper equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC KoperDrawNS Mura
Pre-match model estimate: FC Koper 63%, draw 21%, NS Mura 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Koper win in 63% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and NS Mura win 16%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 1-1 between FC Koper and NS Mura at Bonifika. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
NS Mura took the lead on 10 minutes. It was FC Koper 0-1 NS Mura at half-time.
The officials disallowed a NS Mura goal on 77 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Koper drew level at 1-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-4, from 6 and 8 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-4. Dangerous attacks: 145 for FC Koper, 94 for NS Mura.
What it means
FC Koper remain 1st, now with 29 points. NS Mura stay 9th on 14 points. The wait for a win goes on for NS Mura: 10 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 8 wins for FC Koper, 1 win for NS Mura and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
PrvaLiga
