4' — Nantes took the lead: 1-0. K. Corredor scored it. 15' — Rodez equalised: 1-1. I. Balde scored it. 24' — Nantes went back in front: 2-1. K. Corredor scored it. Half time: 2-1.
47' — Rodez equalised: 2-2. R. Ponti scored it. 71' — Rodez completed the turnaround: 2-3. I. Balde scored it. 72' — Rodez extended the lead: 2-4. I. Balde scored it. 90' — Rodez extended the lead: 2-5. An own goal by S. Sow. It came in the closing minutes. Rodez won 2-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NantesDrawRodez
Pre-match model estimate: Nantes 44%, draw 28%, Rodez 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nantes let a lead slip and lost 5-2 to Rodez at Stade de la Beaujoire. I. Balde scored 3 goals for Rodez.
How the match unfolded
K. Corredor opened the scoring for Nantes after 4 minutes, set up by M. Cafaro. Rodez drew level at 1-1 on 15 minutes thanks to I. Balde, set up by R. Ponti. Nantes went 2-1 up on 24 minutes thanks to K. Corredor, set up by W. Younoussa. Half-time: 2-1, Nantes in front.
Rodez drew level at 2-2 on 47 minutes thanks to R. Ponti. Rodez completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 71 minutes thanks to I. Balde, set up by R. Lipinski. Rodez extended their lead to 4-2 in the 72nd minute: I. Balde, set up by R. Lipinski. Late on, in the 90th minute, Rodez extended their lead to 5-2 through an own goal from S. Sow.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.