This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MSK Breclav win in 41% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and TJ Slovan Bzenec win 36%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 67%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
TJ Slovan Bzenec took the lead on 6 minutes. TJ Slovan Bzenec extended their lead to 2-0 on 32 minutes. Half-time: 0-2, TJ Slovan Bzenec in front.
MSK Breclav pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 50 minutes. TJ Slovan Bzenec had a goal ruled out in the 87th minute.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-0, from 4 and 2 attempts respectively. MSK Breclav won 6 corners, TJ Slovan Bzenec 2. MSK Breclav produced 150 dangerous attacks to TJ Slovan Bzenec's 73.
What it means
It is now 4 straight defeats for MSK Breclav. TJ Slovan Bzenec extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
