Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Moss FK
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
N. Ibsen
E. Chidi
O. Jebali
W. Kvale
H. Vold Krohg
P. Andersen
S. Gronli
T. Usman
N. Semmen
Ranheim IL
J. Storevik
K. Rolstad
T. B. Haukeberg
J. Pereira
H. Gangstad
M. Johnsen
S. Sjovold
O. Holden
F. Nyenetue
G. Mogensen
A. Fossli
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Moss FK won 3-1.
Story
Moss FK vs Ranheim IL: the story of the match
7' — Moss FK took the lead: 1-0. N. Semmen scored it. 22' — Ranheim IL equalised: 1-1. G. Mogensen scored it. Half time: 1-1.
90' — Moss FK went back in front: 2-1. O. Jebali scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Moss FK extended the lead: 3-1. N. Semmen scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Moss FK won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Moss FKDrawRanheim IL
Pre-match model estimate: Moss FK 36%, draw 22%, Ranheim IL 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Moss FK win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Ranheim IL win 42%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 69%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Moss FK got the better of Ranheim IL, winning 3-1. Moss FK owed a lot to N. Semmen, who struck twice. It was 1-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Moss FK took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to N. Semmen, set up by S. Gronli. G. Mogensen equalised for Ranheim IL at 1-1 after 22 minutes. It was Moss FK 1-1 Ranheim IL at half-time.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Moss FK went 2-1 up through O. Jebali, set up by P. Andersen. Moss FK extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: N. Semmen, set up by M. Njie.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-6, from 10 and 11 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-10. Moss FK's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 169 for Ranheim IL, 96 for Moss FK.
What the result means
Moss FK climb from 14th to 13th on 32 points. Ranheim IL remain 7th, now with 41 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Moss FK. Ranheim IL have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
