Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — Moreirense took the lead: 1-0. Landerson scored it. 58' — Estrela Amadora equalised: 1-1. Lovro Zvonarek scored it. 90' — Moreirense went back in front: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Moreirense won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MoreirenseDrawEstrela Amadora
Pre-match model estimate: Moreirense 33%, draw 26%, Estrela Amadora 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Moreirense win in 33% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Estrela Amadora win 41%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Moreirense 0-0 Estrela Amadora at half-time.
Moreirense took the lead on 50 minutes thanks to Landerson, set up by Manuel Mendonça. Estrela Amadora drew level at 1-1 in the 58th minute: Lovro Zvonarek. Late on, in the 90th minute, Moreirense went 2-1 up.
Match statistics
The shot count read 8-6, 3-0 on target. Moreirense won 3 corners, Estrela Amadora 3. Moreirense produced 91 dangerous attacks to Estrela Amadora's 72.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
