Mansfield Town vs Luton Town: the story of the match
17' — Mansfield Town took the lead: 1-0. N. Moriah-Welsh scored it. 28' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 2-0. N. Moriah-Welsh scored it. 45' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 3-0. L. Reed scored it. Half time: 3-0.
47' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 4-0. J. Russell scored it. 56' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 5-0. J. Russell scored it. 78' — Luton Town pulled one back: 5-1. N. Wells scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Luton Town pulled one back: 5-2. N. Wells scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Mansfield Town won 5-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Mansfield TownDrawLuton Town
Pre-match model estimate: Mansfield Town 26%, draw 27%, Luton Town 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 5-2 rout: Mansfield Town swept Luton Town aside at One Call Stadium. N. Moriah-Welsh scored twice for Mansfield Town. The half-time score was 3-0.
The story of the match
Mansfield Town took the lead in the 17th minute: N. Moriah-Welsh, set up by J. Russell. Mansfield Town extended their lead to 2-0 in the 28th minute: N. Moriah-Welsh, set up by R. Hendry. Mansfield Town extended their lead to 3-0 in the 45th minute: L. Reed, set up by N. Moriah-Welsh. Mansfield Town led 3-0 at the break.
J. Russell made it 4-0 for Mansfield Town after 47 minutes. Mansfield Town extended their lead to 5-0 on 56 minutes thanks to J. Russell. N. Wells reduced the deficit for Luton Town to 5-1 after 78 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Luton Town pulled one back to make it 5-2 through N. Wells.
Coming up
Mansfield Town's next match is at home against Chesterfield FC on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
