This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mamelodi Sundowns win in 86% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and Wiliete SC win 3%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 2-0 (18%); both teams score in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Mamelodi Sundowns and Wiliete SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the CAF Champions League Qualification. The half-time score was 1-0.
How the match unfolded
Mamelodi Sundowns took the lead on 11 minutes. It was Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Wiliete SC at half-time.
Wiliete SC drew level at 1-1 on 49 minutes. Mamelodi Sundowns had a goal ruled out in the 54th minute after a VAR review.
The statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns had 10 shots (8 on target) to Wiliete SC's 2 (1). Corners finished 8-0. 7 saves came from the Wiliete SC goalkeeper. Mamelodi Sundowns produced 208 dangerous attacks to Wiliete SC's 69.
What it means
Mamelodi Sundowns extend their unbeaten run to 8 matches. Wiliete SC are now unbeaten in 8 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
