Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Madagascar and Guinea Bissau meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Venue: Stade d'honneur de Meknès.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Guinea Bissau (40%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
31%29%40%
Madagascar31%Draw29%Guinea Bissau40%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau: preview
Madagascar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Madagascar have not won in 3 matches. 7 of Madagascar's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Guinea Bissau have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Guinea Bissau's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Madagascar win in 31% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Guinea Bissau win 40%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Recent form for Madagascar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 5, with 9 goals for and 9 against. Madagascar have gone 3 matches without a win. 7 of Madagascar's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Guinea Bissau come into it with 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 matches. Last time out, Guinea Bissau beat Nigeria 3-0 at home. Guinea Bissau average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
