Luton Town vs Forest Green Rovers: the story of the match
4' — Luton Town took the lead: 1-0. Emilio Lawrence scored it. 41' — Luton Town extended the lead: 2-0. Jordan Clark scored it. Half time: 2-0.
Luton Town won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Luton TownDrawForest Green Rovers
Pre-match model estimate: Luton Town 75%, draw 15%, Forest Green Rovers 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Luton Town win in 75% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Forest Green Rovers win 10%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Luton Town beat Forest Green Rovers2-0 without conceding at Kenilworth Road. 4,325 spectators were at Kenilworth Road.
Key moments
Luton Town took the lead on 4 minutes thanks to Emilio Lawrence. Luton Town extended their lead to 2-0 in the 41st minute: Jordan Clark. It was Luton Town 2-0 Forest Green Rovers at half-time.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-2, from 4 and 11 attempts respectively. Luton Town won 5 corners, Forest Green Rovers 12. Forest Green Rovers produced 61 dangerous attacks to Luton Town's 29.
What it means
Luton Town extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
