LR Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro: the story of the match
17' — Catanzaro took the lead: 0-1. M. D'Alessandro scored it. 39' — LR Vicenza Virtus equalised: 1-1. G. Cuomo scored it. Half time: 1-1.
51' — Catanzaro went back in front: 1-2. B. Verrengia scored it. 80' — LR Vicenza Virtus equalised: 2-2. A. Pietrelli scored it. 89' — LR Vicenza Virtus completed the turnaround: 3-2. C. Morra scored it. It came in the closing minutes. LR Vicenza Virtus won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LR Vicenza VirtusDrawCatanzaro
Pre-match model estimate: LR Vicenza Virtus 41%, draw 24%, Catanzaro 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Catanzaro took the lead in the 17th minute: M. D'Alessandro, set up by G. Alesi. LR Vicenza Virtus drew level at 1-1 on 39 minutes thanks to G. Cuomo, set up by F. Costa. Half-time: 1-1 between LR Vicenza Virtus and Catanzaro.
Catanzaro went 2-1 up on 51 minutes thanks to B. Verrengia, set up by Matias Antonini. LR Vicenza Virtus drew level at 2-2 on 80 minutes thanks to A. Pietrelli, set up by T. Corazza. C. Morra turned the game around for LR Vicenza Virtus at 3-2 after 89 minutes, set up by N. Rauti.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.