Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois: the story of the match
6' — Stade Brestois took the lead: 0-1. Mama Baldé scored it. Half time: 0-1.
65' — Lille OSC equalised: 1-1. Olivier Giroud scored from the penalty spot. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Lille OSCDrawStade Brestois
Pre-match model estimate: Lille OSC 49%, draw 26%, Stade Brestois 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lille OSC and Stade Brestois shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the League 1. The half-time score was 0-1.
The story of the match
Stade Brestois took the lead on 6 minutes thanks to Mama Baldé, set up by Gautier Lloris. Stade Brestois led 1-0 at the break.
Lille OSC drew level at 1-1 on 65 minutes thanks to Olivier Giroud from the penalty spot.
The statistics
On target it was 6-2, from 10 and 5 attempts respectively. Lille OSC won 5 corners, Stade Brestois 2. Lille OSC produced 87 dangerous attacks to Stade Brestois' 15.
What it means
Stade Brestois have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Lille OSC, 2 wins for Stade Brestois and 6 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
