Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain: the story of the match
21' — Lille OSC took the lead: 1-0. Hakon Arnar Haraldsson scored it. Half time: 1-0.
84' — Lille OSC extended the lead: 2-0. Dilane Bakwa scored it. 91' — Paris Saint-Germain pulled one back: 2-1. Vitinha scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 95' — Paris Saint-Germain equalised: 2-2. Marquinhos scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Lille OSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
Pre-match model estimate: Lille OSC 21%, draw 25%, Paris Saint-Germain 54%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson opened the scoring for Lille OSC after 21 minutes, set up by Olivier Giroud. Lille OSC led 1-0 at the break.
Lille OSC extended their lead to 2-0 on 84 minutes thanks to Dilane Bakwa, set up by Olivier Giroud. Paris Saint-Germain pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 91 minutes thanks to Vitinha, set up by Mika Godts. Marquinhos equalised for Paris Saint-Germain at 2-2 after 95 minutes, set up by Vitinha.
What the result means
Across 5 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Paris Saint-Germain and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premiere Division
