This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Krasava Ypsonas win in 13% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and AEK Larnaca win 67%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-2 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the 1. Division. The half-time score was 2-0.
Key moments
Krasava Ypsonas took the lead in the 24th minute: Yassine Bahassa. Krasava Ypsonas extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes. It was Krasava Ypsonas 2-0 AEK Larnaca at half-time.
Krasava Ypsonas had a goal ruled out in the 62nd minute. S. Köhler reduced the deficit for AEK Larnaca to 2-1 after 66 minutes. AEK Larnaca drew level at 2-2 on 81 minutes thanks to A. Trică.
The statistics
Krasava Ypsonas had 3 shots (2 on target) to AEK Larnaca's 5 (5). Corners finished 1-7. 6 saves came from the Krasava Ypsonas goalkeeper. AEK Larnaca produced 136 dangerous attacks to Krasava Ypsonas' 53.
What the result means
Krasava Ypsonas extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. AEK Larnaca are now unbeaten in 6 matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 2 wins for AEK Larnaca and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
