11' — HB Koge took the lead: 0-1. T. Thomsen scored it. 33' — Kolding IF equalised: 1-1. M. Doj scored it. Half time: 1-1.
52' — Kolding IF completed the turnaround: 2-1. F. Lesniak scored it. 54' — Kolding IF extended the lead: 3-1. V. Morozov scored it. 71' — HB Koge pulled one back: 3-2. L. Bust scored it. Kolding IF won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Kolding IFDrawHB Koge
Pre-match model estimate: Kolding IF 44%, draw 24%, HB Koge 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kolding IF win in 44% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and HB Koge win 32%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HB Koge took the lead in the 11th minute: T. Thomsen, set up by R. Brodersen. Kolding IF drew level at 1-1 in the 33rd minute: M. Doj, set up by T. Augustinus-Jensen. It was Kolding IF 1-1 HB Koge at half-time.
Kolding IF completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 52 minutes thanks to F. Lesniak. Kolding IF extended their lead to 3-1 in the 54th minute: V. Morozov. L. Bust reduced the deficit for HB Koge to 3-2 after 71 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 4-4, from 5 and 4 attempts respectively. Kolding IF won 5 corners, HB Koge 5. HB Koge produced 108 dangerous attacks to Kolding IF's 83.
The bigger picture
HB Koge have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
