This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KF Trepca Mitrovice win in 46% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and KF Istogu win 27%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between KF Trepca Mitrovice and KF Istogu.
KF Trepca Mitrovice took the lead on 54 minutes. KF Istogu drew level at 1-1 on 80 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (84') KF Istogu completed the turnaround at 2-1.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-3, 4-2 on target. KF Trepca Mitrovice won 3 corners, KF Istogu 10. KF Istogu produced 292 dangerous attacks to KF Trepca Mitrovice's 212.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
