Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs De Graafschap: the story of the match
43' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead: 1-0. Emre Ünüvar scored it. 45' — De Graafschap equalised: 1-1. Donny Warmerdam scored it. Half time: 1-1.
79' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam went back in front: 2-1. Jano Monserrate scored it. Jong Ajax Amsterdam won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Jong Ajax AmsterdamDrawDe Graafschap
Pre-match model estimate: Jong Ajax Amsterdam 31%, draw 25%, De Graafschap 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead in the 43rd minute: Emre Ünüvar. Just 2 minutes later (45') De Graafschap drew level at 1-1, Donny Warmerdam on target. It was Jong Ajax Amsterdam 1-1 De Graafschap at half-time.
Jong Ajax Amsterdam went 2-1 up in the 79th minute: Jano Monserrate.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-3, from 4 and 5 attempts respectively. Jong Ajax Amsterdam won 5 corners, De Graafschap 5.
The bigger picture
Jong Ajax Amsterdam end a run of 4 matches without a win. Jong Ajax Amsterdam ended De Graafschap's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for De Graafschap: home to TOP Oss on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
