Japan vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kick-off time: 17/11/2026 13:10
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- JapanWDWWLUnbeaten in 4 matches
- ParaguayWWLDD
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Japan and Paraguay meet on in Friendlies.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Japan (52%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Japan vs Paraguay: preview
Japan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Japan are unbeaten in 4 matches. 6 of Japan's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Paraguay have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Paraguay's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Japan 52%, draw 28%, Paraguay 20%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Japan win in 52% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Paraguay win 20%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 37%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
