Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Italy beat Turkiye 3-1 in UEFA Nations League.
In our records Italy and Turkiye have met 7 times: Italy won 6, 1 ended level and Turkiye won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Turkiye 1-4 Italy.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Italy won 3-1.
Story
Italy vs Turkiye: the story of the match
26' — Italy took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
61' — Turkiye equalised: 1-1. 65' — Italy went back in front: 2-1. 87' — Italy extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. Italy won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ItalyDrawTurkiye
Pre-match model estimate: Italy 56%, draw 27%, Turkiye 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
UEFA Nations League
