We had a Independiente Yumbo win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Independiente Yumbo 59%✗ Most likely score 1-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Boca Juniors De Cali won 2-4.
Story
Independiente Yumbo vs Boca Juniors De Cali: the story of the match
4' — Independiente Yumbo took the lead: 1-0. T. Diaz scored from the penalty spot. 24' — Boca Juniors De Cali equalised: 1-1. J. Aponza scored it. 36' — Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround: 1-2. J. Aponza scored it. Half time: 1-2.
60' — Independiente Yumbo equalised: 2-2. An own goal by J. Andrade. 66' — Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround: 2-3. D. Cortes scored it. 89' — Boca Juniors De Cali extended the lead: 2-4. J. Salcedo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Boca Juniors De Cali won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Independiente YumboDrawBoca Juniors De Cali
Pre-match model estimate: Independiente Yumbo 59%, draw 24%, Boca Juniors De Cali 17%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Independiente YumboKick-off0-0Boca Juniors De Cali
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Independiente Yumbo win in 59% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Boca Juniors De Cali win 17%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Independiente Yumbo – Boca Juniors De Cali match report
Boca Juniors De Cali came from behind to beat Independiente Yumbo4-2 in the Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura. Boca Juniors De Cali owed a lot to J. Aponza, who struck twice. J. Aponza was our player of the match, rated 8.2 by the ScoreMondo model for Boca Juniors De Cali. The match was played on Monday, 2 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (matchday 2).
Key moments
Independiente Yumbo took the lead in the 4th minute with T. Diaz from the penalty spot. Boca Juniors De Cali drew level at 1-1 in the 24th minute through J. Aponza. Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 36 minutes thanks to J. Aponza. Boca Juniors De Cali led 2-1 at the break.
Independiente Yumbo drew level at 2-2 in the 60th minute with an own goal from J. Andrade. The officials disallowed a Independiente Yumbo goal on 66 minutes. Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 66 minutes thanks to D. Cortes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Boca Juniors De Cali extended their lead to 4-2 through J. Salcedo.
The statistics
Independiente Yumbo had 14 shots (7 on target) to Boca Juniors De Cali's 14 (10). Corners finished 2-4. Independiente Yumbo committed 5 fouls to Boca Juniors De Cali's 15, and the offside count read 1-3.
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to D. Cortes (Boca Juniors De Cali, 7.2), J. Salcedo (Boca Juniors De Cali, 7.0) and T. Diaz (Independiente Yumbo, 6.3). From the Independiente Yumbo bench came H. De Arco on 38 minutes, W. Lopez on 38 minutes, L. Farias on 46 minutes and J. Pajaro on 74 minutes. Boca Juniors De Cali made 4 changes: P. Urrutia for L. Perez (63'), A. Mancilla for J. Cuero (63'), M. Lucumi for J. Aponza (85') and J. Salcedo for D. Cortes (85').
The context
Before kick-off Independiente Yumbo were 4th on 0 points and Boca Juniors De Cali 2nd on 1 point. Independiente Yumbo came into the match with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. Envigado FC beat Independiente Yumbo 2-0 last time out. Before kick-off, Boca Juniors De Cali's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Boca Juniors De Cali drew 1-1 with Club Union Magdalena last time out. The record between them over the last 2 matches reads 1-1-0 from Independiente Yumbo's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026, ended in a 3-0 win for Independiente Yumbo.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura
