Heracles Almelo vs Waalwijk: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
52' — Heracles Almelo took the lead: 1-0. Tristan Van Gilst scored from the penalty spot. 66' — Heracles Almelo extended the lead: 2-0. Damon Mirani scored it. 71' — Heracles Almelo extended the lead: 3-0. Alexandre Rodríguez scored it. Heracles Almelo won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Heracles AlmeloDrawWaalwijk
Pre-match model estimate: Heracles Almelo 63%, draw 20%, Waalwijk 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tristan Van Gilst opened the scoring for Heracles Almelo after 52 minutes. Heracles Almelo extended their lead to 2-0 on 66 minutes thanks to Damon Mirani. Heracles Almelo extended their lead to 3-0 on 71 minutes thanks to Alexandre Rodríguez.
Eerste Divisie
