This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Hapoel Petach Tikva win in 10% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Beitar Jerusalem win 74%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hapoel Petach Tikva – Beitar Jerusalem match report
Beitar Jerusalem took the lead in the 12th minute: Y. Shua from the penalty spot. Half-time: 0-1, Beitar Jerusalem in front.
Hapoel Petach Tikva had a goal ruled out in the 46th minute.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-9, from 4 and 13 attempts respectively. 8 saves came from the Hapoel Petach Tikva goalkeeper. Beitar Jerusalem produced 575 dangerous attacks to Hapoel Petach Tikva's 218.
What the result means
Hapoel Petach Tikva have now gone 6 matches without a win. Beitar Jerusalem extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
