Grobinas SC vs Ogre United: the story of the match
18' — Grobinas SC took the lead: 1-0. D. Druzinins scored it. Half time: 1-0.
61' — Grobinas SC extended the lead: 2-0. Dodo scored it. 70' — Ogre United pulled one back: 2-1. K. Cudars scored from the penalty spot. 71' — Grobinas SC extended the lead: 3-1. H. Yamada scored it. 86' — Ogre United pulled one back: 3-2. M. Kalnins scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Grobinas SC won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Grobinas SCDrawOgre United
Pre-match model estimate: Grobinas SC 45%, draw 26%, Ogre United 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
D. Druzinins opened the scoring for Grobinas SC after 18 minutes, set up by M. Corryn. Grobinas SC led 1-0 at the break.
Grobinas SC extended their lead to 2-0 on 61 minutes thanks to Dodo, set up by M. Corryn. Ogre United pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 70 minutes thanks to K. Cudars from the penalty spot. Grobinas SC extended their lead to 3-1 in the 71st minute: H. Yamada, set up by M. Corryn. Late on, in the 86th minute, Ogre United pulled one back to make it 3-2 through M. Kalnins, set up by R. Sibass.
What the result means
A 4-game wait for victory is over for Grobinas SC. Grobinas SC had not beaten Ogre United in any of the previous 3 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Virsliga
