Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town: the story of the match
34' — Northampton Town took the lead: 0-1. M. Warhurst scored it. Half time: 0-1.
58' — Northampton Town extended the lead: 0-2. J. Guthrie scored it. 61' — E. Pruti of Grimsby Town was sent off. Northampton Town won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Grimsby TownDrawNorthampton Town
Pre-match model estimate: Grimsby Town 56%, draw 27%, Northampton Town 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Northampton Town took the lead in the 34th minute: M. Warhurst, set up by L. Evans. Half-time: 0-1, Northampton Town in front.
Northampton Town extended their lead to 2-0 on 58 minutes thanks to J. Guthrie, set up by E. Moore. Grimsby Town were a man down from the 61st minute, when E. Pruti was sent off.
What the result means
Grimsby Town have now gone 6 matches without a win. Northampton Town end a run of 4 matches without a win.
What’s next
Next up for Grimsby Town: home to Nottingham Forest U21 on Tuesday 10 November. Northampton Town's next match is at home against Gillingham on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
