Granada vs Real Valladolid: the story of the match
14' — Granada took the lead: 1-0. Sergio Rodelas scored it. Half time: 1-0.
58' — Real Valladolid equalised: 1-1. Iván Garriel scored it. 67' — Granada went back in front: 2-1. Jorge Pascual Medina scored it. 97' — David Torres of Real Valladolid was sent off. Granada won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GranadaDrawReal Valladolid
Pre-match model estimate: Granada 47%, draw 25%, Real Valladolid 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Granada win in 47% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Real Valladolid win 28%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Granada got the better of Real Valladolid, winning 2-1 at Nuevo Los Cármenes. It was 1-0 at half-time. The attendance at Nuevo Los Cármenes was 13,282.
Key moments
Sergio Rodelas opened the scoring for Granada after 14 minutes. It was Granada 1-0 Real Valladolid at half-time.
Real Valladolid drew level at 1-1 on 58 minutes thanks to Iván Garriel. Granada went 2-1 up on 67 minutes thanks to Jorge Pascual Medina. Real Valladolid had a player sent off on 97 minutes: David Torres.
The statistics
Corners finished 3-4.
The bigger picture
That is 4 straight wins for Granada. Real Valladolid have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
What’s next
Next up for Granada: home to UD Las Palmas on Sunday 15 November. Real Valladolid's next match is at home against CD Castellon on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
