16' — Freiburg took the lead: 1-0. 29' — FK Jablonec equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
56' — Freiburg went back in front: 2-1. 65' — Freiburg extended the lead: 3-1. 90' — FK Jablonec pulled one back: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Freiburg won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FreiburgDrawFK Jablonec
Pre-match model estimate: Freiburg 69%, draw 19%, FK Jablonec 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-2 home win for Freiburg against FK Jablonec in the UEFA Conference League. The half-time score was 1-1.
How the match unfolded
Freiburg took the lead on 16 minutes. FK Jablonec drew level at 1-1 on 29 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Freiburg and FK Jablonec.
Freiburg went 2-1 up on 56 minutes. Freiburg extended their lead to 3-1 on 65 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FK Jablonec pulled one back to make it 3-2.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-1.
What it means
Freiburg extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Freiburg ended FK Jablonec's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
Coming up
FK Jablonec visit SK Artis Brno next, on 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
