Fredrikstad FK vs Rosenborg: the story of the match
45' — Rosenborg took the lead: 0-1. Amin Chiakha scored it. Half time: 0-1.
67' — Rosenborg extended the lead: 0-2. Mads Bomholt scored it. 90' — Rosenborg extended the lead: 0-3. Amin Chiakha scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Rosenborg won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Fredrikstad FKDrawRosenborg
Pre-match model estimate: Fredrikstad FK 25%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Fredrikstad FK win in 25% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Rosenborg win 53%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Rosenborg took the lead on 45 minutes thanks to Amin Chiakha. Half-time: 0-1, Rosenborg in front.
Mads Bomholt made it 2-0 for Rosenborg after 67 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Rosenborg extended their lead to 3-0 through Amin Chiakha from the penalty spot.
Match statistics
The shot count read 15-14, 3-2 on target. Fredrikstad FK won 4 corners, Rosenborg 4. Rosenborg produced 191 dangerous attacks to Fredrikstad FK's 155.
What it means
Fredrikstad FK's run of 10 matches with a goal comes to an end. Rosenborg have now scored in 11 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
