Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg: the story of the match
18' — Freiburg took the lead: 0-1. L. Holer scored it. Half time: 0-1.
71' — Freiburg extended the lead: 0-2. I. Matanovic scored it. 74' — Freiburg extended the lead: 0-3. L. Kubler scored it. 76' — Fortuna Dusseldorf pulled one back: 1-3. F. Schleusener scored it. 80' — Freiburg extended the lead: 1-4. J. Makengo scored it. 90' — Freiburg extended the lead: 1-5. I. Matanovic scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Freiburg won 1-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawFreiburg
Pre-match model estimate: Fortuna Dusseldorf 7%, draw 14%, Freiburg 79%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 5-1 rout: Freiburg swept Fortuna Dusseldorf aside at Merkur Spiel-Arena. Freiburg owed a lot to I. Matanovic, who struck twice. It was 0-1 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
Freiburg took the lead in the 18th minute: L. Holer, set up by P. Osterhage. Freiburg led 1-0 at the break.
Freiburg extended their lead to 2-0 on 71 minutes thanks to I. Matanovic, set up by D. Scherhant. Freiburg extended their lead to 3-0 on 74 minutes thanks to L. Kubler. Just 2 minutes later (76') Fortuna Dusseldorf pulled one back to make it 1-3, F. Schleusener on target, set up by M. Zimmermann. Freiburg extended their lead to 4-1 on 80 minutes thanks to J. Makengo, set up by I. Matanovic. Freiburg extended their lead to 5-1 in the 90th minute: I. Matanovic, set up by C. Irie.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
DFB Pokal
