FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori: the story of the match
14' — FC Ryukyu took the lead: 1-0. T. Ishiura scored it. Half time: 1-0.
55' — FC Ryukyu extended the lead: 2-0. J. Suzuki scored it. 63' — FC Ryukyu extended the lead: 3-0. K. Ihori scored it. 65' — FC Ryukyu extended the lead: 4-0. K. Sota scored it. 75' — Gainare Tottori pulled one back: 4-1. I. Yoshida scored from the penalty spot. 77' — FC Ryukyu extended the lead: 5-1. Y. Funabashi scored it. 88' — Gainare Tottori pulled one back: 5-2. K. Hombo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Ryukyu won 5-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC RyukyuDrawGainare Tottori
Pre-match model estimate: FC Ryukyu 53%, draw 23%, Gainare Tottori 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Ryukyu win in 53% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Gainare Tottori win 24%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 2.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Ryukyu took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to T. Ishiura. Half-time: 1-0, FC Ryukyu in front.
FC Ryukyu extended their lead to 2-0 in the 55th minute: J. Suzuki. FC Ryukyu extended their lead to 3-0 in the 63rd minute: K. Ihori, set up by S. Iwamoto. K. Sota made it 4-0 for FC Ryukyu after 65 minutes, set up by H. Horiuchi. Gainare Tottori pulled one back to make it 4-1 on 75 minutes thanks to I. Yoshida from the penalty spot. Just 2 minutes later (77') FC Ryukyu extended their lead to 5-1, Y. Funabashi on target, set up by Y. Kato.
Gainare Tottori pulled one back to make it 5-2 on 88 minutes thanks to K. Hombo, set up by M. Kaneura.
The statistics
FC Ryukyu won 3 corners, Gainare Tottori 3. Gainare Tottori produced 52 dangerous attacks to FC Ryukyu's 35.
The bigger picture
FC Ryukyu have now won 4 in a row. Gainare Tottori have now gone 7 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
