FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Machida ZelviaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
Pre-match model estimate: FC Machida Zelvia 35%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Machida Zelvia win in 35% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 39%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Machida Zelvia – Sanfrecce Hiroshima match report
FC Machida Zelvia won 3 corners, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5.
What the result means
FC Machida Zelvia drop from 3rd to 4th on 29 points. Sanfrecce Hiroshima slip to 3rd (30 points), having started the day 2nd. FC Machida Zelvia extend their unbeaten run to 11 matches. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. Across 5 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
