Slovenia3. SNL, East Round 11Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
NK Tolmin beat FC Litija 2-0 in 3. SNL, East.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: NK Tolmin won 0-2.
23' — NK Tolmin took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
68' — NK Tolmin extended the lead: 0-2. NK Tolmin won 0-2.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: FC Litija 51%, draw 23%, NK Tolmin 26%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Litija win in 51% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and NK Tolmin win 26%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
FC Litija failed to score as NK Tolmin won 2-0 in the 3. SNL, East. The half-time score was 0-1.
NK Tolmin took the lead on 23 minutes. It was FC Litija 0-1 NK Tolmin at half-time.
NK Tolmin extended their lead to 2-0 on 68 minutes.
Corners finished 6-0.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
