FC Isloch vs FK ML Vitebsk: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — FC Isloch took the lead: 1-0. Adeola Olaleye scored it. 94' — S. Balanovich of FK ML Vitebsk was sent off. FC Isloch won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC IslochDrawFK ML Vitebsk
Pre-match model estimate: FC Isloch 22%, draw 25%, FK ML Vitebsk 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Isloch win in 22% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and FK ML Vitebsk win 53%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK ML Vitebsk failed to score as FC Isloch won 1-0 in the Vysshaya Liga. The half-time score was 0-0.
How the match unfolded
Half-time: 0-0 between FC Isloch and FK ML Vitebsk.
FC Isloch took the lead in the 50th minute: Adeola Olaleye. FK ML Vitebsk were a man down from the 94th minute, when S. Balanovich was sent off for a second yellow card.
Match statistics
FC Isloch won 6 corners, FK ML Vitebsk 12. FK ML Vitebsk produced 70 dangerous attacks to FC Isloch's 31.
The bigger picture
FC Isloch extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. FC Isloch ended FK ML Vitebsk's unbeaten run of 9 matches. It is FC Isloch's first win against FK ML Vitebsk since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
