FC Copenhagen vs Odense BK: the story of the match
34' — Odense BK took the lead: 0-1. Noah Ganaus scored it. Half time: 0-1.
77' — FC Copenhagen equalised: 1-1. Birger Meling scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CopenhagenDrawOdense BK
Pre-match model estimate: FC Copenhagen 70%, draw 18%, Odense BK 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Copenhagen win in 70% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Odense BK win 12%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
