69' — FC Alverca took the lead: 1-0. V. Semedo scored it. 87' — Santa Clara equalised: 1-1. Brenner scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AlvercaDrawSanta Clara
Pre-match model estimate: FC Alverca 31%, draw 34%, Santa Clara 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Alverca took the lead on 69 minutes thanks to V. Semedo, set up by I. James. Santa Clara drew level at 1-1 in the 87th minute: Brenner, set up by Welinton Torrao.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for FC Alverca: 4 matches now. Santa Clara are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Santa Clara and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
