Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
ES Mostaganem beat MC Saida 1-0 in Ligue 2.
In our records ES Mostaganem and MC Saida have met 4 times: ES Mostaganem won 2, 1 ended level and MC Saida won 1.
Their latest meeting (): MC Saida 1-4 ES Mostaganem.
Match details
Coaches
– · M. Lachgar
Match decisions & VAR
81'Red cardMC SaidaDecision
86'Red cardES MostaganemDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: ES Mostaganem won 1-0.
Story
ES Mostaganem vs MC Saida: the story of the match
4' — ES Mostaganem took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
81' — MC Saida had a player sent off. 86' — ES Mostaganem had a player sent off. ES Mostaganem won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ES MostaganemDrawMC Saida
Pre-match model estimate: ES Mostaganem 51%, draw 28%, MC Saida 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ES Mostaganem win in 51% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and MC Saida win 21%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 38%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ES Mostaganem took the lead on 4 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, ES Mostaganem in front.
MC Saida had a player sent off on 81 minutes. ES Mostaganem had a player sent off on 86 minutes.
The statistics
ES Mostaganem won 2 corners, MC Saida 4.
What the result means
ES Mostaganem extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. ES Mostaganem ended MC Saida's unbeaten run of 6 matches. It is ES Mostaganem's first win against MC Saida since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 2
