Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Eastern District SA beat Shatin SA 2-1 in Premier League.
In our records Eastern District SA and Shatin SA have met 10 times: Eastern District SA won 6, 1 ended level and Shatin SA won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Eastern District SA 3-1 Shatin SA.
Match decisions & VAR
40'Penalty awardedShatin SADecision
59'Review overShatin SAVAR review · red cardDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Eastern District SA
Paulo Cesar
Helio
D. Almazan
Michel Renner
C. Scott
Luizinho
Li Ngai-Hoi
M. A. Pirie McArthur
C. H. Yuen
Yeung Cheuk-Kwan
Y. Na
Shatin SA
B. Lau
Lam Hok-Hei
J. Scott
H. Kametani
Matheus Dantas
Law Tsz-Chun
M. Ansah
L. Leung
S. Takatori
C. Chiu
A. Aldalur
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Eastern District SA won 2-1.
Story
Eastern District SA vs Shatin SA: the story of the match
8' — Eastern District SA took the lead: 1-0. C. H. Yuen scored it. 42' — Shatin SA equalised: 1-1. J. Scott scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-1.
76' — Eastern District SA went back in front: 2-1. Michel Renner scored it. Eastern District SA won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Eastern District SADrawShatin SA
Pre-match model estimate: Eastern District SA 55%, draw 22%, Shatin SA 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Eastern District SA win in 55% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Shatin SA win 23%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Eastern District SA took the lead in the 8th minute: C. H. Yuen. J. Scott equalised for Shatin SA at 1-1 after 42 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Eastern District SA and Shatin SA.
Eastern District SA went 2-1 up on 76 minutes thanks to Michel Renner.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-2, from 10 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-5.
What it means
Eastern District SA sit 6th on 7 points in the standings. In the table, Shatin SA are 8th with 5 points. The wait for a win goes on for Shatin SA: 7 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
