Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Dauphins Noirs and Novakin meet on in Ligue 1.
Before kick-off the model leans towards Dauphins Noirs (43%).
Model estimate
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Dauphins Noirs have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches. Dauphins Noirs are unbeaten in 4 matches. Novakin have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches.
Our pre-match model estimate: Dauphins Noirs 43%, draw 39%, Novakin 18%.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Dauphins Noirs win in 43% of the simulated matches, 39% end level and Novakin win 18%. Average goals 1.3; the most likely score is 0-0 (28%); both teams score in 21%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published:
Dauphins Noirs and Novakin meet in Ligue 1 at 13:00 on Wednesday 11 November.
Dauphins Noirs have 1 win and 3 draws from their last 4 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0. 4 games without defeat for Dauphins Noirs.
Over the last 3 matches, Novakin have collected 2 wins and 1 defeat.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
