This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CSM Sacele win in 20% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and CSO Baicoi win 59%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-2 home win for CSM Sacele against CSO Baicoi in the Liga 3. The half-time score was 2-1.
How the match unfolded
CSM Sacele took the lead on 12 minutes. CSO Baicoi drew level at 1-1 on 15 minutes. CSM Sacele went 2-1 up on 44 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, CSM Sacele in front.
CSO Baicoi drew level at 2-2 on 58 minutes. CSO Baicoi had a goal ruled out in the 68th minute. CSM Sacele went 3-2 up on 70 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (74') CSM Sacele extended their lead to 4-2.
What the numbers say
CSM Sacele won 8 corners, CSO Baicoi 7.
What the result means
CSM Sacele have now won 4 in a row. CSM Sacele ended CSO Baicoi's unbeaten run of 10 matches. It is CSM Sacele's first win over CSO Baicoi in the last 3 meetings on record.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
